TradeSports Exchange Ltd is an online marketplace that trades contracts on various assertions, including
contracts on political races. Its brick and
mortar location is in Dublin Ireland. It is similar to a sports betting website but operates more like a futures market. The data for this projection
comes from the state-by-state contracts for the assertion "George W. Bush to win this state in the November 2004 Election." A point costs $0.10 and a
winning contract pays $10. In other words, the results depicted here are the collective judgments of a nation of bettors who are willing to put their
money where their mouth is.
In this analysis, the following assumptions are made by default:
Each of these bounds are configurable. Choose the "View Options" link in the "Summary" table to set your own parameters.
The electoral vote-weighted bid price is computed by multiplying the quotient of bid price / 100 by the state's total electoral votes. The
national electoral vote-weighted bid price drift is the 24-hour change in the sum of the EV-weighted bid price for all states. Battle ground electoral vote
weighted bid price drift is the same as the national EV-weighted bid price drift, except this figure is only calculated for states which fall within
the (user-defined, or default) neutrality bounds.
If you have any questions or notice any errors or innacuracies, please drop me a line
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